Tesla’s EV Share to Drop, Says BofA
US market leader to lose dominance to legacy carmakers, bank predicts.

Tesla peaked with 78% of the U.S. market in 2018.
IMAGE: Pexels/Pixabay
The U.S. electric-vehicle manufacturing leader’s market share will fall to less than 20% in the next three years, according to a Bank of America estimate reported by CNBC.
The country’s second-largest bank said Tesla will be overtaken by legacy automakers, which are gunning for at least mostly electric lineups by next decade as they scale up production.
Last year, Tesla commanded what BofA said was 62% of the American EV market, which is growing as the federal and many state governments incentivize EV materials sourcing, charging infrastructure development, and consumer adoption. The EV maker peaked with 78% of the U.S. market in 2018, CNBC said. BofA now predicts its share will fall to 18% by 2026.
The Texas-based company, founded in 2003 in California, is nevertheless still influencing the sector’s development. Ford and General Motors recently sealed deals with it to use Tesla’s fast-charger network—the largest in the U.S.—and both will adopt its charging port starting with their 2025 models, a sign that it’s poised to become the industry standard.
LEARN MORE: GM Joins Ford in Tesla EV Charger Deal
More Dealer Ops

Ladies and Gentlemen, This Is a Dealership: Why the Fundamentals Still Decide Who Wins
A teaching moment by a legendary football coach happens to apply perfectly in the auto retail space. Learn what it is and how to use it to your store’s advantage.
Read More →
Timing the Market Can Hurt Long-Term Program Performance
For dealer-owned reinsurance entities, avoiding volatility entirely can mean falling behind inflation and missing market rebounds that drive long term surplus growth. Missing just a handful of strong market days can materially impact cumulative returns—an important reminder for long horizon trust and investment strategies.
Read More →
Dealer Ads and the FTC
The agency has made it clear in recent enforcement actions and warnings, in auto retail and other industries, that advertised prices must include all nonoptional costs to the consumer.
Read More →
Used Autos Supply Dwindles
The March shopping surge, despite high prices, cut into inventory by the most since the thick of the pandemic, Cox Automotive analysts calculated.
Read More →
Managing Risk Effectively Through Changing Times
The variables influencing risk pricing have changed significantly over the past five years. Being proactive and responsive to emerging trends is not optional but essential.
Read More →
Survey Reveals What Won't Fix What's Breaking Car Sales
AutoPayPlus says extra-long auto loans are trapping consumers and threatening the dealer trade-in cycle, and that the industry is leveraging the wrong tools to combat high MSRPs.
Read More →
IA American Appoints Two Execs
Senior vice presidents of the company's agent and dealer channels chosen to support general agents and help auto dealers with sales and performance.
Read More →
Cox Automotive Acquires Inspection Firm
Full ownership of Alliance Inspection Management, or AiM, meant to unlock growth for Manheim inspection capabilities
Read More →
Assurant Expands Partnership With Holman
Extended collaboration delivers training, products and performance development to 30 newly acquired Holman dealerships
Read More →
Franchises, Throughput Down in First Half
A handful of states see franchise growth through June, while EV sales per store boost overall business in U.S.
Read More →